I don't think the histogram on your camera is of the RAW image you just made.
I think it's the histogram for the basic JPEG that is embedded in the RAW file that is displayed on the LCD.
KmH is absolutely correct: the in-camera histogram is derived from the JPEG image; so, if the image parameters in-camera are set strongly one way or another, the histogram is not representative of the RAW data. For example, if you crank the saturation and the contrast up really high, the histogram will show channel blow-out well before the maximum exposure has been achieved. Very scientific and hard-core shooters load what is called a Uni-White Balance or a near-Uni white balance into the camera, either through camera maker software, or by putting an appropriate file onto a CF Card, and directing the camera's custom WB system to use the Uni-WB image file from the CF card as the source for the white balance. This image file will alos have a non-tone-mapped or "linear" tone curve response.
When shooting and trying to expose to the right, it is important that the camera's custom capture parameters NOT be "juiced", so do not boost the saturation or tone curve or allow the camera to have wildly off-based white balance settings. Otherwise, the histogram will slam over to the right hand side well,well befoere you have actually achieved pixel well saturation.
And JimmyO, I do like the type of stuff you and your friends shoot, and yuor dark and moody style is a good example of why an external light meter is still a valuable tool: you can only rely upon an LCD screen for so much, but when it comes time to actually KNOW if your camera is approach its limits, the unflinching eye of a good Minolta or Sekonic flash/incident/reflected light meter is worth its weight in re-shoots and "Oh, dang it!'s" Considering how much flash work you are doing, I think it'd be valuable to invest in a flash meter, so you can accurately predict, without even firing a single frame, what the background density will be, using incident light on the main/fill, and then reflected light metering the background from subject position. This is an old method called codified by Dean Collins decades ago. It was called ChromaZones. If you YouTube the Dean Collins videos you might see some great examples of how to use an incident light meter to measure subject, then the appropriate amount of offset measured with a *reflected* light meter to determine how much or how little light is needed for the proper background density.
Tony Corbell, a disciple of Dean Collins, wrote a book on studio lighting, and he talks a bit about the ChromaZones system in that book.
Use a google search on the terms Uni-WB or Uni-WHite Balance or near-Uni White Balance. There are YouTube, dPreview, and Fred MIrands links to this topic.