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Overall digital camera shipments down 36% in the same period: DSLR sales down for first time in a decade - AfterDawn
Andrew Reid at eoshd.com thinks consumer DSLRs will be dead in 5 years: Consumer DSLRs "dead in 5 years" » EOSHD.com
It may take 10 years, and not 5, but the handwriting seems to be on the wall. As for me, I'm starting a camera phone blog
Bill
I'll believe it when I see it. Personally I don't believe it one bit, I think it's a lot of nonsense from people who don't understand the market or market forces at all. Also the fact that DSLR sales are down doesn't surprise me at all - but considering how bad the economy is right now that should be expected, not a surprise.
Will they eventually perfect mirrorless to the point where the reflex mirror system won't have any advantages over it? That is a possibility. Will the make it affordable enough that they can compete and produce cameras with the same capabilities at the same price points.. again, a possibility. Will they do all that in 10 years.. a big, big maybe. But you know what? Even if they do they'll still end up producing cameras that look and act pretty much the same as DSLR's do now, because there is a big market for them and there always will be for a variety of reasons, ergonomics being at the top of that list.