I will ask once again, since you never seem to address this, what point and shoot comes close to a 1D MIII, 1Ds MIII, D3, etc. in function? NONE.
It has not been addressed because it is irrelevant as far as this conversation goes, but since you asked so god damn nicely. I never said, and never will say any current P&S camera can hold a candle to the 1D series. Unfortunately it is not the current generation of photographer I am worried about. Never once did I say that you and I are just going to throw our Canons out the window in favor of some P&S on steroids, in fact I said quite the opposite.
From the original post
Yes, the super zoom may not compare optically to a prime L, but if it's all one ever knew, how will they know what they are missing? What incentive is there any more to buy SLR? Wile optical quality is of huge relevance to those of us photographers who are serious or have had experience with a fine prime lens. Those who can not afford the dSLR price tag turn to the film SLR or the "equally" capable superzoom. Wile film SLRs are full fledged and functional SLR cameras that can be purchased on the cheap they lack the modern convenience the average beginner wants. This in turn sways the decision to the superzoom heavily as many have the modern convenience the average beginner wants. I'm a pretty dedicated SLR user, I my self plan on teaching my kids with film based SLRs from the get go, but how many parents are going to go out and get their eight yearold an SLR camera in this day and age? Even then howmany are going to even consider film? I'm possibly one of the last of the generation where film was the only medium at the time I took up photography. I've meet kids in their elder teens who had never even seen a film P&S let alone SLR. What's more people are under the impression that Exif data is the be all and end all in training aids, this leads me to believe that parents will lean strongly to digital. Be they dedicated to photography or wishing to satisfy the curiosity of their child be they eight or eighteen it boils down to what are they willing or able to pay for a camera that may not survive and/or truly peak the interest.
It's todays beginners, those who have not shot an SLR of any form that I am concerned about. Especially those on tight budgets, You put perceved eqality in their hands and who is to tell them otherwise...People of the last generation like us. Well eventually we will be dead and that responsibility falls on the photographers of the following generation, this generation. I repete "I am just not seeing an appropriate action by camera manufacturers to build the next generation of SLR photographers." Howmany SLR's are being sold to people who can't afford to buy and/or never will buy another lens, and how does that compare to the number of those who have a minimum of three lenses. Then How does the difference compare to the number of superzooms sold to people looking to get into/get their kids into photography. From what I am seeing the balence of power between SLR to P&S in enthusiastic hands is going to be considerably weeker than it was thirty years ago. Not dead but weeker, I do not see the SLR as we know it lasting anymore than a couple user generations.
Did you think that P&S cameras were always going to be 6 meg cameras with only basic functions.
No, I did not believe that P&S cameras would sit idle, I do however believe that there comes a point where the line must be drawn limmiting the flexibility of P&S cameras, requiring those who are truely interested to move up to an SLR. Something more than just optical quality, Range is a mighty fine place to put a limit on as far as I am concerned, there is no reason for a pocket camera to have the reach we see in the modern superzooms, None. I also feel that marketing SLRs like that bigger better badder TV, boom box or what ever, SLRs are a tool not a status simbol.
If I did believe that P-shooters were always going to be 6 meg cameras with only basic functions, Do you seriously think I would be complaining about the potential repricussions of their development?
And before you go into how great these are stop and think.
Before I can even start going into how great these are I would have to first actually use them, and that ain't happening. I'll admit you have me on that with some of the larger stuff like IS, AF and what not, but don't use any of it so I could not care less how it's developed. That was a mistake on my part based on the gimics I find so utterly pointless.
And here is the confirmation
Really, which one?
The concept that this thread is about is what will become the norm, not the unusual. There have been many very accomplished and highly regarded photographers over they years that took and instamatic in the days of film or a cheap little P&S now and done a project. It did not however turn into a replacement for their normal, day to day shooting gear.
Never once did I say or imply that todays photographers where going to replace their dSLR with one of these things. This is a long term projection based on what I see in the market today and in its history. It has nothing to do with accomplished photographers, it has everything to do with the photographers who don't even have a camera yet. It's about what they buy/have given to them for their first cameras, the incentives (or lack thereof) they have to move up to SLR from the point and shoot they could afford/got for their birthday and the ones teaching them.
The conclution I came to was that history will repet it self, 30 years ago 35mm was popular and 8x10 was superior.....Now 35mm is allmost obsolete and 8X10 is shot only by the truly dedicated. Thirty to fifty years from now that 1D you are so adamately defending will be of little interest to the average photographer, because I imagine they will have a one peice kit that will do it all. Not all that much different from my having little intrest in a Sinar, being relitivly content with my 35mm SLR and all.
Frankly, I don't give a rats ass if you think I am wrong in my conclution, To each his own, But I'm not going to have this thread deraild with repeted analogies arguing a misinturpritation. That is what pissed me off.