This may be a case of our perception of the same facts being different. I know nothing of commercial photography, other than the very very small amount of business customers who called on me to do one time pictures. Now for those few shots I am sure some take their real estate agent outside to shoot him with a digi... And there is some validity to the fact that when there were, none to very poor, digital they had to come to someone like me. But my son in law shoots lots of images for web pages still and there were none of them around when I was running it.
I am retired now and my son in law has the business and gone digital. He is high end nikon based and has had to charge more. The customers I historically serviced are probably having uncle jeff.
That was the comment I made earlier. They can't afford my Son in Law because his prices are so high. If you dont have a wallmart type pro, for the walmart type customer, they will most likely get uncle jeff.
But the choice still isn't you or jeff. It is noone or jeff. People are not going to come up with an extra thousand dollars just because you bought an expensive outfit. If they don't have it, they dont have it. So the choice in weddings is the pro, they cant afford, uncle jeff, or nothing. Guess where the customer who was willing to pay a walmart price has gone.
My son in law isnt losing business at all and certainly not because these people would rather have uncle jeff do it. The reason I say that is: before uncle jeff had his canon digi, he had a canon 35mm and they hired guys like me anyway. I'm sorry I don't have a lot of sympathy for wedding photographers who price themselves out of the low end market then complain about the numbers being down. The numbers have always been at the low end of the scale. More people spend less money but there are more of them. When they can't afford you, then you don't have many customers no matter who is shooting for them.
There are a lot more photographers chasing the fewer wedding customers willing to pay them. There are enough horror stories around that the brides all know they are taking a terrible chance with uncle jeff.
I believe they would rather have a pro but they have called around and they know what the rates are. If they can't find someone who will shoot it for a price they can afford, they will get uncle jeff, they always have.
I spoke to a photographer who does nothing but commercial real estate, (He also closed down his studio) and he said his new problem was convincing his clients that his digital shot was worth using, and their's wasn't. I don't know but I expect alot of write off (The quick one shot that they bill the irs tripple for) photography is going digital. I hadn't thought of that but I suppose so.
In weddings I would venture to say it is more the increase in price than the increase in quality digital cameras in the hands of relative and friends. Now I don't consider the price a photographer charges, or what he does on monday morning, a bench mark for being called a qualified photographer. I personally ran a full time studio, but I never looked down or the cop or fireman who worked a real job. I did look down on the people who did shoddy work just because they were reasonably priced. If a bride can see lots of samples she feels better than jeff telling her sure he knows what he is doing. Trust me he wasn't her first choice.
If you look in the yellow pages this year compared to last year it gets sorted out eventually. They come and they go..It has always been like that this is not a new phenomenon.
This is just my opinion based on my own small studio in a rural southern area so maybe im full of it... Most people tend to think so...
By the way people who will pay for quality are still out there' Every photographer isnt right for everyone of them, so yes it gets spread around.
yeah i know about the exposure thing but one stop on a paper negative is a lot. Take a look at the paper negative thread on the alt forum. James and I are working with them. One stop on film is easy to compensate for and I expect even digital one stop on a paper negative can make you crazy.