true, but as the population increases and the digital costs lower and become even more available. as soon as those millions of "photographers" go on to another calling there will be another million or more right behind them willing to give it a go. its easy to go awhile as a "photographer" if your holding a regular daytime job.
they say statistics can be easily skewed to give you the results you want to look at. i would imagine that the study based there findings off of established photographers on some level and might not have included the millions of facebook photographers who are now giving out their services. i mean you could base your numbers on businesses who have a business id allot easier then just counting every joes facebook photography outfit working without a valid liscence or taxes or any of the sort.
You are not totally wrong. The million photogs I mentioned (a number I pulled out of thin air) will be replaced. But only to a certain degree because word gets around that this is not such a great business to get into. Yes, thanks to all the instant comm going on, word gets around a lot faster than it used to. Young people (and I was once one) think they've invented the world but they haven't. Wedding photo once was a great way to make quick money just as it is today. And just like today, only the worthwhile ones stayed in business. The others quickly went by the wayside. Forgotten.
The idea that the cost of digital photography is lower is just that. An idea. Prove it to me.
I think more people had instamatics and were printing their shots than people with digital cameras. Very few images today get printed. They get shown on the computer and get forgotten almost as soon as they are seen. 1/ because there are way too many images and 2/ because when we did print shots we shared the prints (we send them left and right to friends.)
Today, you show your Momma your latest photos, she has no idea whatsoever what to do with that disk you gave her, she puts it away in a drawer and they are never seen again. I'm still holding on to negatives from my great-grand-father's days... And some of those got printed not that long ago for a museum.
So it seems to me it is cheaper because we don't print.
Well, if we don't print, film cameras are a lot cheaper. I can buy a couple dozens of them for the price of a crop body. Where, how is digital cheaper?
Common sense: The stove is hot, don't touch it.
Good advice here. You are better be ready to burn your fingers to the bone when mentioning common sense.
Look, I've met plenty of people your age who have more common sense than people my age but none of the points you are trying to make, show any signs of common sense.
1.) There are more photographers now than there EVER have been before. Sure, some won't last long. But a whole lot more are going to stick with it than back in the film days, due to the lower overhead costs that come along with digital. Yes, I understand the cost of software, hard drive space, computers, etc. But it's certainly no more expensive than what it cost to build a good darkroom before the digital era.
Do you have numbers to back this up or do you make it up as you go? Total BS. My first darkroom did not cost me more than a couple hundred $. As for the number of photogs, instamatics were a lot cheaper and easier to use than the average digital camera. Because of your age you forget that film processing was once very cheap and available everywhere. And considering how few rolls the average photogs shoot every year, it may not be any more expensive today. If you take out the printing, that is, which nobody does any more.
2.) As technology trickles down, lower end cameras will be able to do what pro cameras are doing now. Meaning that the price of admission will be alot lower. Just look at the D7000. If someone had told you you could get those features for $1200 5 years ago, you wouldn't have believed it. Because the D7000 is better than pro camera bodies (D2 series) from 5 years ago in many areas.
Total BS. As the price trickles down, as you put it, people want more expensive cameras, fancier ones.
3.) Newspapers and magazines are beginning to move to online only publications, especially as devices like the ipad become more mainstream. As they move to online only, they are beginning to use video, rather than photos, for many of their stories/articles.
What does that have to do with photo quality? Maybe you need to move on to video...
4.) Photography Blogs such as Froknowsphoto, strobist, and the like, are making learning photography easier than ever. If someone is really driven to learn photography, it can be done online, for free, relatively quickly.
I thank the Strobist for making sure no one can take away my business. Yes, true, some things are esy enough to learn online but for the most part, it's total BS and if you think you're about to become a pro because of sites like this, have fun.
And I stop here. Not worth going any further.