o hey tyler said:
I don't know why you think that an APS-C DSLR is going to be replaced by a full frame camera.
Well, the flagship Nikon D2x and D2Xs models, both APS-C cameras, with 1.5x FOV factors AND 2.0x FOV at 8.2 FPS one-button shift were replaced by...the full frame D3,D3s,and D3x cameras, also with multi-format one-button shift. So...there is precedent for Nikon to do exactly that: to REPLACE an APS-C camera model with a full-frame camera.
Second, this seems to be the time. Nikon's new $699 D3200 has a 24MP sensor, and that's in a cheap, pentamirror body. Some day Canon APS-C will catch up in MP count to the cheapest Nikon d-slr. Currently, Nikon has a 36MP D800 and D800e pair, at $3,000 entry price, while the Canon 5D-Mark III is priced at $3,500, with a weaker sensor, and much lower MP count and lower resolution. The Nikonrumours site has shown images of a Nikon D600 that looks VERY MUCH like a D90-class camera; meaning,
a TOP-level "enthusiast" class body. Rumors from people like Nikon guru and author of 16 Nikon guidebooks, Thom Hogan, have for months now, been filled with articles on how the newly-reformed Nikon Corporation is apparently planning to transition the top-level
"enthusiast" body from APS-C and to full frame. Nikon fired the majority of its older executives a few years back, and the newer,much younger executives have gotten Nikon into
"warrior" mode.
So, yeah...it's probably a number of things that have been covered in the press that follows the Nikon community on a daily basis and has for ten years...those people have been telling us that the top-lvbel Nikon "enthusiast"camera is going to be FF. And, uh, Nikon's brand new "economy" 50mm f/1.8 AF-S G Aspherical normal lens, their ultra-high performance 85mm f/1.8 AF-S G tele, and their new high-speed 28mm f/1.8 wide-angle G-series lens, and their release of the patent for their new 24-85 full-frame zoom...Nikon has been releasing all-new, very high-quality full-frame lenses priced at wayyyyyy less than HALF of the prices of their "pro" primes and zooms. So, yeah...when Nikon publicly stated, "
The Nikon D7000 is not the D90's replacement camera," they meant exactly that. THe D7000 is not, and has never been, NIkon's "replacement" for their top-level
"enthusiast" body...the D7000 is the high-end consumer body.
I myself have been anticipating a D600 at $1599 to $1899. For about six months now. Based on Thom Hogans multiple write-ups,and his extensive analysis of the camera business, and on the Nikon RUmors website reports, and now, the $699, 24-megapixel D3200. It's a pretty fair bet that the top-level enthusiast body from Nikon is about to go FF---the same,exact way that Canon made the transition to FF in its 5D some years back: take an enthusiast-level body, put a good FF sensor in it, and sell it at several thousand dollars less than the pro-level FF offering.