Well, don't write "global warming" off just yet. Without taking into account the greenhouse gases, we are in a cooling phase due to astronomical configurations (and this will last about 100,000 years), and the greenhouse gas warming has kinda reversed (temporarily) the astronomical trend. However, what that increased energy has done is increased the variability and the number of extreme events. Since much of the atmospheric energy is carried by water vapour, increased overall temperature increases evaporation, high and low pressure zones will be stronger, leading to higher winds, and deeper oscillation of hot-humid air with cold-dry air - which we see as drought, extreme temperature periods, very strong rainfall, and very high winds.
We tend to like simple solutions, but the climate has multiple cycles going on (the 21,000 year Milanhovic cycle, and the 100,000 cycle are two that come to mind), and their interaction with the changes that we are making to the atmosphere, make it very difficult to unambiguously point to one factor as being "the" cause. In geologic times we have had successive "run-away" climate changes occuring, and some of these are correlated to the movement of the land-masses due to plate tectonics, and some of them due to the gyrations of the planet in its orbit around the sun. In the current era, the rapid increase in greenhouse gases has reversed the long-term cooling trend that we should have been seeing. How this will play out will depend on whether we get into positive-feedback loops, which generate very non-linear results. And that's the real concern, at least for me - we can rely on "normal" being normal less and less.